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Polymarketlive pricesSenate control after the 2026 midterms
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Senate: 35 races, 51 for a majority
Republicans hold the Senate 53-47. Democrats need a net gain of 4 seats for control; a 50-50 Senate is decided by the vice president (R).
Senate: live results
In poll-closing orderLiveDelayedlastlast updated ET
Ohio
Senate · special election
- DSherrod Brownwon0.0%
- RJon Hustedincumbentwon0.0%
- IGreg Levywon0.0%
Minnesota
Senate
- DPeggy Flanaganwon0.0%
- RMichele Tafoyawon0.0%
- IMarisa Simonettiwon0.0%
Alaska
Senate
- DMary Peltolawon0.0%
- RDan S. Sullivanincumbentwon0.0%
- RGerald L. Heikeswon0.0%
- IDaniel J. Sullivan Jr.won0.0%
- ISidney "Sid" Hillwon0.0%
- 32Democrat
- 2Independent, caucuses with D
- 35Up in 2026
- 31Republican
Source: US Political Rankas of now 53 R · 47 D
- Toss-up
- Lean D
- Likely D
- Solid D
- Likely R
- Solid R
- No Senate race this year
Source: Cookas of
Races
In poll-closing order, ETNorth Carolina
open seat · held by R
- DRoy Cooper
- RMichael Whatley
Ohio
special election
- DSherrod Brown
- RJon Hustedincumbent
- IGreg Levy
New Hampshire
open seat · held by D
- DChris Pappas
- RJohn E. Sununu
Minnesota
open seat · held by D
- DPeggy Flanagan
- RMichele Tafoya
- IMarisa Simonetti
Alaska
- DMary Peltola
- RDan S. Sullivanincumbent
- RGerald L. Heikes
- IDaniel J. Sullivan Jr.
- ISidney "Sid" Hill
The other 22 races
Races not on the key list. Each has its own page with the rating and poll closing time.
- RKentuckyopen seat · held by R
- DVirginiaheld by D
- RWest Virginiaheld by R
- RAlabamaopen seat · held by R
- DDelawareheld by D
- RFloridaheld by R · special election
- DIllinoisopen seat · held by D
- DMassachusettsheld by D
- RMississippiheld by R
- DNew Jerseyheld by D
- ROklahomaopen seat · held by R
- DRhode Islandheld by D
- RTennesseeheld by R
- RArkansasheld by R
- DColoradoheld by D
- RLouisianaopen seat · held by R
- DNew Mexicoheld by D
- RSouth Dakotaheld by R
- RWyomingopen seat · held by R
- RMontanaopen seat · held by R
- RIdahoheld by R
- DOregonheld by D
Source: Cookas of